NFT and P2E are just mechanics

For the most part NFT gimmicks and Play to Earn have had a lot of breathing room to take their time, launch their tokens, make money and deliver products in drips and drabs for more money.

Fortunately some of the best ones at least have truly functional systems in place although "broken" economies so it is not all lost.

There is a big focus on being completely decentralized but as most have found this is a long-term dream and it helps that no one really cares so long as the important parts are, ie assets or at least open to sell without being able to block them.

Aside from Hive no other chain can really handle the game data in a decentralized fashion anyway, sure there is Near and possibly I think Atom but obviously finding such scalable solutions is not what these people are after.

So centralized data stores for the most part will be the case since even on Polygon you will kill the GAS fees if you do a fraction of the transactions that Splinterlands does. This is something mentioned here by @Luke-wtp in his latest video:

The Big Dogs

I do wonder why mobile games have not pushed to NFT quicker but it is probably the same reason Youtubers won't just end up using 3Speak or "Bloggers" don't use Hive as a main source.

They make a lot more money.

If anything someone that is doing mediocre on those platforms will look to earnings from the Web3 options as nifty little passive change.

Again that just goes to scale I spoke about before and sure it will grow but it is what it is now.

For gaming that is good because I think as soon as more and more of those mobile games start adopting NFT and possibly having full fledge economies in their games, the less people will actually play the blockchain ones we have now.

It is not all doom and gloom as you have two very different mindsets behind mobile vs p2e, although one thing they share is p2w - pay to win.

That is just how society works and will be the unifying glue for mobile gaming and p2e models. Some are more balanced than others and there the vale of difference falls away between the two worlds. Although mobile is more corrupt and dishonest if only because there are fewer of the blockchain games out. Probably % based blockchain projects are far more outright malicious criminals with mobile being a lot more insidious in their methods.

When the big dogs come everyone will have an option and I wonder if that will just mean everything will inherently be massive supply to trick people into that reward feeling, kinda how DEC is in Splinterlands but a 10th of the value.

You can bet those who put their lively hood into these games will be blaming the casual gamers who see the assets for what they are pennies to throw away and high scores to hit.

Or will the $ amount bring some form of equilibrium to everything and you will have the sheer power of arbitrage to maintain a global gaming economy?

One thing I think though, is that players like Gala Games will probably need to move at a faster rate and the days of pre-launching crap without having any utility people can gauge the value of it to will be well over.